Balancing the Core Model

Topics related to general financial modeling including standalone projection modeling.

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Balancing the Core Model

Postby gurmeher » Sat Oct 09, 2010 11:57 pm

I am done with all the core and advanced financial modeling videos. I don't quite understand why the balance sheet balances in the end. I understand the logic behind the debt sweep pertaining to the revolver, and how its used to pay down or borrow cash, and the fact that the ending debt balances impact the ending cash, and both the ending cash and debt balances are linked to the balance sheet and ultimately make the balance sheet balance. From a theoretical viewpoint, I need to know why the model balances. I can go ahead and build a balanced model myself, but I cannot explain to myself why it balances. Please explain on a conceptual level why the model balances. Please don't answer by asking me to refer to the videos as I have already viewed them twice.
Also, if average cash and debt balances are used to calculate interest income and expense, we need to turn on manual iterations. I agree with the need to turn on manual iterations. The video states that Excel repeats the iterations until the balances do not change. I need to again understand on a conceptual level why the balances would not change. Once we calculate interest income based on the average cash balance, net income, cash and interest income will keep on increasing. As stated in the video, why would the numbers no longer change after performing a few 100 iterations. Please give a detailed explanation as I understand everything in the advanced financial modeling videos except these 2 fundamentally important concepts.
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Re: Balancing the Core Model

Postby wsthost » Sun Oct 10, 2010 8:32 pm

The Balance Sheet must always balance! Formula Asset = Liabilities + Equity, so think of it this way, you have a house, that house is an asset worth $100,000, if you get a mortgage of $80,000 (the debt), the remaining $20,000 has to go where? Well that belongs to you, which is in the form of equity. So when theory (Assets (100k) = Liabilities (80k) + Equity (20k) becomes reality is when you sell that house, you will pocket the 20k. Let's say now some time went by, and you paid off 10k on the mortgage. Well let's demonstrate what happens. The asset is still worth 100k, the liability (mortgage) is 70k, now where does that remaining 30k go? Well that's your equity. You see why it must "always" balance.

Now, in the context of the financial model, the revolver balances the model - think of it another way: say you make $100 of income this month. But you spent $120. The $20 difference is charged on your credit card (revolver). Next month, you make another $100, but you only spent $92. You have $8 of excess cash that 2nd month, which you will use to pay off your revolver of $20, leaving a net balance on revolver of $12.

A third way to explain it: As long as every item that changes on the IS and BS is reflected on the CF, you should balance. Why? Back to old school debits and credits and double-entry accounting. There's ALWAYS two entries for every transaction. Now, every item on the IS is reflected via Net Income and Retained Earnings via S/H Equity and Cash Flow Statement. So that takes care of IS integration. Go line by line thru the rest of the BS and you'll see all the working capital items reflected in CFO. Stuff like PPE is connected to CapEx (cash down), etc. Then, the Equity changes are reflected in CFF, leaving debt and revolver to cap off (see above paragraph).

Re: your iterations question - at some point the numbers don't change b/c Excel only calculates 15 decimal places. If Excel were to suddenly chanage that to 30 decimal places, then it would keep going and the numbers would change again. However, that one-gazillionth of a decimal difference has no material impact on our model. We usually observe no more than 30 or so iterations to balance, so a few hundred would be quite a bit actually.
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Re: Balancing the Core Model

Postby gurmeher » Wed Oct 13, 2010 3:23 am

Thanks for your detailed responses. They were quite helpful.
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Re: Balancing the Core Model

Postby wsthost » Thu Oct 14, 2010 9:05 am

you're welcome! let us know if we can help further.
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